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A new way of presenting climate facts and thoughts on scenarios
Very interest\ting different style of presenting climate facts. As things rush on more people are voicing opinions, and at the same time, it’s less clear what’s worth discussing. I I am holding on to the idea that gardenworld is the preferred direction to go in regardless of scenario. Meanwhile the scenario methodology forces us to be more analytical. For example, take the proposal for nuclear power scenario method starts with questions like if we are to achieve it what has to happen and what is the cost and what might be the social reaction to attempting it. For example, in the short term utility companies that exist well resist like mad and try to organize politically. If the nuclear plants have to be created, and that takes a lot of energy and materials, once operational, such a nuclear power, plants would have to be connected through some infrastructure to the end-user. What is the cost and timeframe for such infrastructure?
Currently thinking things through in a scenario method is likely to lead to the conclusion that no solution, no approach better, can prevent the rise of temperature, and the rise of temperature will kill us all. I remember once Thomas Edison Ben quoted, paraphrase, as saying that his assistant came to him, and said, the experiment failed, and Addison replied, no, we have learned that another approach isn’t working. That’s very positive. It is important to see what won’t work so that we don’t spend time going down cul-de-sacs. Then we need a very active imagination to break through. Is there a positive role for the mafia worldwide? Could we create a plant everything everywhere worldwide approach? Says rising temperatures are episodically, high and low. Could we create a kind of hopscotch pattern of moving between cool spots, including , living under ground? lowest of the new technology scenarios, do not take into account the cost of manufacturing and distributing the new technologies.
The biggest gap in my mind is the lack of analysis of the social and political and cultural reactions to changing circumstances and public opinion.