Today, earthquakes point out and obvious lesson: we are slightly prepared for earthquakes and fires – I’m thinking, particularly of California, but we are not preparing equally even for climate change. earthquake preparation is fairly serious and we should import as much as we can from those efforts to lifeboats for climate.
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Not so many years ago, I gave a presentation at UC-Berkeley on the idea of using our adaptive artificial intelligence tools for predicting earthquakes and reducing the time-for-detection to public notice to some un-defined minima.
We were able to detect and characterize otherwise-ignored precursors in the geo-waveforms but the work was considered 'fairly serious' and mostly without interest bolstering the 'slightly prepared' paradigm you mention regarding earthquakes and fires.
Climate change is real; earthquakes are probabilistic.